Dynamic predictions for repeated markers and repeated events:
models and validation in cancer
THURSDAY OCTOBER 10 |
|
8.30 |
COFFEE AND REGISTRATION |
9.00 |
GENERAL INTRODUCTION AND PARTNERS |
9.20 |
MORNING SESSION: INTRODUCTION ON PREDICTIVE ASSESMENT FOR SURVIVAL MODELS - Predictive power, discriminatory power, goodness of fit, construction of predictive tools moderator: D. Commenges - V. Rondeau |
9.20 |
♦ Introduction on predictive evaluation and examples (short course) - Karel Moons (Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, Utrecht, Netherlands) |
10.20 |
♦ General Introduction on R2 in survival (short course) - Janez Stare (University of Ljubljana, Slovenia) |
11.00 |
COFFEE BREAK |
11.20 |
♦ Evaluation of dynamic risk prediction models (short course) - Thomas A. Gerds (University of Copenhagen, Danemark) |
12.00 |
SHORT PRESENTATION FROM POSTERS AUTHORS |
12.20 |
LUNCH BREAK WITH POSTER SESSION |
14.00 |
AFTERNOON SESSION - MODELLING OF RECURRENT EVENTS AND COMPETING RISKS - Models development, prognostic Tools, cancer applications Moderator: C. Proust-Lima - R. Giorgi |
14.00 |
♦ Dynamic prediction by landmarking in competing risks (short course) - Hein Putter (Leiden University Medical Center, Netherlands) |
15.00 |
♦ Counting processes and recurrent events: beyond the cox model for Poisson process - Vincent Couailler (Mathematical Institute of Bordeaux, France) |
15.40 |
COFFEE BREAK |
16.00 |
♦ Dynamic prognostic tools using joint models or recurrent and terminal events - Virginie Rondeau(ISPED, Bordeaux, France) |
16.40 |
♦ Multistate models for colon cancer recurrence and death with a cured fraction - Jeremy M. G. Taylor (University of Michigan School of Public Health, USA) |
FRIDAY OCTOBER 11 |
|
8.30 |
COFFEE AND REGISTRATION |
9.00 |
MORNING SESSION: LONGITUDINAL AND SURVIVAL DATA MODELING - models development, prognostic tools, cancer applications Moderator: A. Latouche - X. Paoletti |
9.00 |
♦ Joint modelling (short course) - Dimitris Rizopoulos (Erasmus University of Rotterdam, Netherlands) |
10.00 |
♦ Dynamic predictions and their evaluation - Cécile Proust-Lima (INSERM U897, ISPED, Bordeaux, France) |
10.40 |
COFFEE BREAK |
11.00 |
♦ AUC for dynamic models - Paul Blanche (INSERM U897, ISPED, Bordeaux, France) |
11.40 |
♦ Towards institution - and investigator - specific self-updating risk calculators for prostate cancer - Donna Pauler Ankerst (Department of Mathematics, Technical University Munich, Germany and Departments of Epidemiology/Biostatistics, Urology, University of Texas Health Science Center, USA) |
12.20 |
SHORT PRESENTATION FROM POSTERS AUTHORS |
12.30 |
LUNCH BREAK WITH POSTER SESSION |
14.00 |
AFTERNOON SESSION - MECHANISTICS MODELS AND PRECLINICAL ASPECTS Moderator: X. Paoletti - N. Savy |
14.00 |
♦ Stochastic models (short course) - Adeline Samson (MAP5 CNRS 8145, University of Paris Descartes, France) |
15.00 |
♦ Image-based simulation of tumor growth. Applications to lung and liver metastasis - Thierry Colin (Mathematical Institue and INRIA, Bordeaux, France) |
15.20 |
♦ Individual predictions using mechanistic models - Mélanie Prague (INSERM U897, ISPED, Bordeaux, France) |
15.40 |
♦ Designing group sequential randomized clinical trials with time to event end points using a R function - Thomas Filleron (Claudius Regaud Institute, Toulouse, France) |
16.00 |
General Conclusion. Discutant of the two days: Aurélien Latouche (EA4629, CNAM) |