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Scientific Program

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Dynamic predictions for repeated markers and repeated events:
models and validation in cancer

 

THURSDAY OCTOBER 10

8.30

COFFEE AND REGISTRATION

9.00

GENERAL INTRODUCTION AND PARTNERS

9.20

MORNING SESSION: INTRODUCTION ON PREDICTIVE ASSESMENT FOR SURVIVAL MODELS - Predictive power, discriminatory power, goodness of fit, construction of predictive tools

moderator: D. Commenges - V. Rondeau

9.20

Introduction on predictive evaluation and examples (short course) - Karel Moons (Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, Utrecht, Netherlands)

Slides

10.20

General Introduction on R2 in survival (short course) - Janez Stare (University of Ljubljana, Slovenia)

Slides

11.00

COFFEE BREAK

11.20

Evaluation of dynamic risk prediction models (short course) - Thomas A. Gerds (University of Copenhagen, Danemark)

Slides

12.00

SHORT PRESENTATION FROM POSTERS AUTHORS

12.20

LUNCH BREAK WITH POSTER SESSION

14.00

AFTERNOON SESSION - MODELLING OF RECURRENT EVENTS AND COMPETING RISKS - Models development, prognostic Tools, cancer applications

Moderator: C. Proust-Lima - R. Giorgi

14.00

Dynamic prediction by landmarking in competing risks (short course) - Hein Putter (Leiden University Medical Center, Netherlands)

Slides

15.00

Counting processes and recurrent events: beyond the cox model for Poisson process - Vincent Couailler (Mathematical Institute of Bordeaux, France)

Slides

15.40

COFFEE BREAK

16.00

Dynamic prognostic tools using joint models or recurrent and terminal events - Virginie Rondeau(ISPED, Bordeaux, France)

Slides

16.40

Multistate models for colon cancer recurrence and death with a cured fraction - Jeremy M. G. Taylor (University of Michigan School of Public Health, USA)

Slides

 

 

FRIDAY OCTOBER 11

8.30

COFFEE AND REGISTRATION

9.00

MORNING SESSION: LONGITUDINAL AND SURVIVAL DATA MODELING - models development, prognostic tools, cancer applications

Moderator: A. Latouche - X. Paoletti

9.00

Joint modelling (short course) - Dimitris Rizopoulos (Erasmus University of Rotterdam, Netherlands)

Slides

10.00

Dynamic predictions and their evaluation - Cécile Proust-Lima (INSERM U897, ISPED, Bordeaux, France)

Slides

10.40

COFFEE BREAK

11.00

AUC for dynamic models - Paul Blanche (INSERM U897, ISPED, Bordeaux, France) 

Slides

11.40

 Towards institution - and investigator - specific self-updating risk calculators for prostate cancer - Donna Pauler Ankerst (Department of Mathematics, Technical University Munich, Germany and Departments of Epidemiology/Biostatistics, Urology, University of Texas Health Science Center, USA)

Slides

12.20

SHORT PRESENTATION FROM POSTERS AUTHORS

12.30

LUNCH BREAK WITH POSTER SESSION

14.00

AFTERNOON SESSION - MECHANISTICS MODELS AND PRECLINICAL ASPECTS

Moderator: X. Paoletti - N. Savy

14.00

Stochastic models (short course) - Adeline Samson (MAP5 CNRS 8145, University of Paris Descartes, France)

Slides

15.00

Image-based simulation of tumor growth. Applications to lung and liver metastasis - Thierry Colin (Mathematical Institue and INRIA, Bordeaux, France)

Slides

15.20

Individual predictions using mechanistic models - Mélanie Prague (INSERM U897, ISPED, Bordeaux, France)

Slides

15.40

Designing group sequential randomized clinical trials with time to event end points using a R function - Thomas Filleron (Claudius Regaud Institute, Toulouse, France)

Slides

16.00

General Conclusion. Discutant of the two days: Aurélien Latouche (EA4629, CNAM)

Slides